Joe Bastardi of WeatherBell.com tweeted out the following on Tuesday (February 3rd).
The first two-thirds of February:
This is the Euro out through March 20th:
Joe likes to use colorful descriptions, and his ‘Emperor of the North’ reference is to cold weather….he also likes to talk about how snowstorms ‘lay down the carpet’ for the ‘Emperor of the North’. From the upper Plains to the Northeast, there is a carpet of snow for the cold air to push across with little resistance and less friction, which will allow such intrusions to make their way further south and/or linger longer.
As I have mentioned before, things seem favorable for this winter to stretch out into March. Check out this note (the Brazilian Meteogram), also from Bastardi on twitter. The top graph shows precip (green is snowstorms) and the bottom graph shows temps. As Joe mentions, Chicago highs are closer to 3 above zero Celsius, which is around 38 to 40 Fahrenheit. This metric is showing considerably below normals there out into April and plenty of precip. I’ve been following this metric (Brazilian Meteogram) for the last six months and it has been a great indicator on general themes. Good on the macro, not as good on the micro (meaning hitting the spikes/extremes to the day). The macro suggests plenty of cold, which is in line with what you have just seen from above: