I don’t know about you, but I’ve grown up in a family where The Farmer’s Almanac was given a decent amount of respect. While I’ve viewed its predictions with a jaundice eye as I’ve grown older, I’m still curious enough to know what it has to say about winter weather.
This year’s almanac is out, and as you can read at this link, it’s calling for cold weather this winter. But not just cold. Here is an excerpt:
The Farmers’ Almanac is using words like “piercing cold,” “bitterly cold” and “biting cold” to describe the upcoming winter. The 197-year-old publication that hits newsstands Monday predicts a winter storm will hit the Northeast around the time the Super Bowl is played at MetLife Stadium in the Meadowlands in New Jersey. It also predicts a colder-than-normal winter for two-thirds of the country and heavy snowfall in the Midwest, Great Lakes and New England.
While not scientific, folks with more pepper in their beards than I have still tell me they rely more on this than long term forecasts by meteorologists. While I am not a meteorologist, I took some weather courses in college as I once entertained the idea of becoming a meteorologist. I’ve been fascinated by weather all my life and have actually read books on things like Maunder Minimums, Solar Cycles, The Year Without a Summer, Krakatoa’s Eruption and its effects on global climate….yeah, I am a blast at a party.
One thing I place value in is the solar cycles…the number of sunspots in a cycle and their intensity…we are in the midst of a weak solar cycle..in fact, one of the weakest in the last 100 years.
What can that do to weather? Well, here is where we come full circle, back to where I began this note…is a weak solar maximum a harbinger of not just a cold winter, but perhaps a string of them?
The Farmer’s Almanac would have you believe that is the case, as you can read here….I’m not going to argue with that.
Given the wet barrel crunch that I believe is on the horizon, the amount of propane we are exporting and the inventory level we are at nationally, a bitterly cold winter across the nation on top of even some winter in the southeast could mean price spikes that are mean and nasty. Enjoy the reading…and make sure you’re protected!