The latest corn crop progress report is out and the national crop is still rated 73% Good to Excellent, which continues to be a very robust number for this time of the year. You can see how it stacks up to recent harvests at the graph below from the Van Trump Report:
In most areas, the corn is not distressing…not even firing from some reports I hear, which is amazing for this time of year. Here is the ten day outlook for precip:
So we’re look at near normal to above normal precip over the nation’s bread basket…notice the above normal bulls eye on the map…I think Indiana and Ohio are going to be leading the way this year on yields and bushels per acres, as their crops are looking phenomenal. Indianapolis still hasn’t had a 90 degree day this year and as I write this at 12:04p eastern time, Indianapolis sits at 65 degrees, which is their lowest high temperature on this date, ever…it will likely go higher than that the rest of the day, but you get the picture.
Over in KC, the summer continues it’s mild march:
It’s not just there…take a look at the following graphic…it ranks this past July dating back to 1895 as far as the ‘coolest’ or ‘warmest’ on record…the total number of July’s would be 119
While the western states have experienced one of the warmest July’s on record, while the bread basket experienced the other side of the spectrum. Indiana just had it’s coolest July on record. Illinois and Missoui their second coolest and Iowa and Ohio their third coolest.
What about the winter? We’re still a ways away from forecast models holding much water, but that doesn’t stop meteorologists from giving it a shot. Really, the ‘best’ tool or the most interesting analysis one can do right now is to run analog comparisons…how is this year’s summer weather pattern comparing to previous years with similar markers?
The following graph is from WeatherBell.com, to which I hold a subscription.
Well looky there! 2009-2010 (on the left)…not surprising, that was the last El Nino we saw in the United States (it was a mild event) and it was also one of the biggest grain dryer seasons in decades. The map on the right is last winter, just to give you a comparison and reminder from 2009-2010.