Better late than never, right? Well, not really…I am not a fan of El Nino winters as those are typically mild across the northern tier of the Northern Hemisphere…
If there is going to be an El Nino, and typically there will be El Nino’s every few years, I like this set up:
“The long-anticipated El Niño has finally arrived, according to forecasters with NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center. In their updated monthly outlook released today, forecasters issued an El Niño Advisory to declare the arrival of the ocean-atmospheric phenomenon marked by warmer-than-average sea surface temperatures in the central Pacific Ocean near the equator.”
OK, great. So what would its (potential) impact be for you and me and what we do?
“Due to the weak strength of the El Niño, widespread or significant global weather pattern impacts are not anticipated. However, certain impacts often associated with El Niño may appear this spring in parts of the Northern Hemisphere, such as wetter-than-normal conditions along the U.S. Gulf Coast….Forecasters say it is likely (50 to 60 percent chance) that El Niño conditions will continue through the summer.”
In my opinion, the primary impacts could be:
-Above normal precip this spring, which could effect/delay the timing of crop planting
-If it carries into the summer, timely rains which could benefit quality of the crop
I don’t want to wade too far into the Agronomy world, although my family has been involved in that world for multiple generations, so I’ll stop here. Many of you are more informed along these lines and can draw your own conclusions as to what above normal precip can mean in the spring and summer, but it’s still a dart board at this time.